I'd like to suggest that megaprojects play a key role in the wholesale transformation and advance of a society. I'd also like to suggest that there are three important conditions which must be fulfilled in order for a megaproject to realize its full transformative potential:
- The leaders of a society must be wise in their choice of the goal which a megaproject is supposed to meet;
- The leaders must present the vision and goal of the megaproject in a way that unites the souls of the members of society behind that goal;
- And, the leaders must be wise in organizing the contributions of each member of the society in fulfilling that goal.
It is at points 2 and 3 that trouble can come. Point 1 is also a place of potential trouble - if the leaders of a society choose an unrighteous goal, eventually their project will fail, as the builders of Babel found out. But I'd like to focus especially on the pitfalls contained in points 2 and 3. The success of point 2 depends not only on the wisdom and persuasiveness of the leaders of a society, but also on all the members of the society itself. For instance, if the members of a society are generally unselfish and willing to make contributions toward a greater good, they can be more easily united behind a good goal. If, however, the members of a society are rabidly selfish and individualistic, then it becomes much harder for any leader to unite them behind the sort of transformative goal that requires an unselfish contribution from each member. The success or failure of point 3 depends on the humility (or lack thereof) of the leaders of the society. The leaders will have the greatest chance of success if they recognize that the people from whom they are asking contributions bring not only their material wealth and the strength of their bodies, but also their minds (or souls) - that is, their unique ideas and perspectives. Those leaders who set a goal and then "hire" the members of their societies "from the shoulders down" as mere drones to fulfill the grand plan of the leaders may find their grand plan failing.
Now one way to destroy a society's ability to conceive and implement megaprojects is to destroy that society's ability to combine. This is what happened at the Tower of Babel when God confused the languages of everyone on earth because their unified goal was evil. But it is also possible for evil agents to confuse the ability of a society to undertake large-scale transformative projects of good. How is this done? Simply by teaching or persuading a majority of the members of the society to become selfish, materialistic, and individualistic. This has been the trajectory of American society over the last four decades under the influence of right-wing American media. It should be no surprise therefore that the ability of the U.S. to engage in transformative megaprojects has declined as well (at the same time that loneliness and alienation in American society has increased). There is an urgent need for the kind of transformative megaprojects that can enable the United States to weather the 21st century challenges of declining resource availability, increasing environmental degradation, and a changing climate. But rigid adherence to free-market ideology and excessive reliance on private-sector solutions is hindering the emergence of the needed megaprojects. A case in point is the success with which the American Right attacked the Green New Deal.
On the other hand, there are the societies of China and Singapore, in which the coordination between the State and private industry is much tighter, and there is still a fair amount of collective spirit. As a result, China has the most advanced urban infrastructure in the world, and leads the world in rapid transit technology including high-speed rail. In fact, China is now a major exporter of high-speed rail technology. Similarly, the Chinese higher education system is the result of intense, goal-oriented State strategic planning which has begun to produce universities which are among the most prestigious in the world. (Consider Tsinghua University, for instance, which is among the top twenty universities worldwide according to one metric.) This is occurring at a time in which many American universities are declining in world rankings due to a lack of public funding for basic research. And the story of Singapore is no less impressive, as demonstrated by the article cited at the end of this post. But a problem arises in more collectivist societies if the leaders of those societies become insecure and hence begin to assert an unhealthy level of control over the initiative of their private members. Hence, Chinese President Xi Jinping's actions and policies have begun to threaten the megaproject of Chinese transformation begun by Deng Xiaoping.
So we have two ends of a continuum: on the one hand, rampant, laissez-faire individualism which prevents people from combining in any way to achieve goals larger than the individual, and on the other hand, a central control which quashes individual initiative and stifles diverse insights. The United States lies on one end of this continuum and is declining as a result. China under Xi Jinping has begun to move toward the other end of the continuum and has begun to suffer as a result. Physicists and astronomers sometimes talk about the n-body problem - that is, the problem of trying to mathematically describe the motions of three or more bodies in orbit around a common center. I'd like to suggest what I call the "n-soul problem" - that is, how to organize people into groups that most effectively undertake transformative projects for good. Those who successfully solve this problem will do well.
For further reading on megaprojects, see "Megaprojects for Megaregions: Global Cases and Takeaways" by John Landis and the U.S. Department of Transportation.
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