Sunday, July 18, 2021
From D to D, Chapters 8 and 9: How The Straight Subverts The Crooked
Sunday, April 18, 2021
From D to D, Chapters 6 and 7: A Rut By Any Other Name
The most effective indirect approach is one that lures or startles the opponent into a false move so that, as in jiu-jitsu, his own effort is turned into the lever of his overthrow.
And from Gene Sharp,
Even in military conflicts, argued Liddell Hart, generally effective results have followed when the plan of action has had "such indirectness as to ensure the opponents' non-readiness to meet it." It is important "to nullify opposition by paralyzing the power to oppose"...
In other words, don't get stuck in ruts that someone else has dug for you.
Sunday, April 4, 2021
From D to D, Chapters 6 & 7: What You Do With What You Have
Grand strategy is the conception that serves to coordinate and direct the use of all appropriate and available resources (economic, human, moral, political, organizational, etc.) of a group seeking to attain its objectives in a conflict. Grand strategy, by focusing primary attention on the group’s objectives and resources in the conflict, determines the most appropriate technique of action (such as conventional military warfare or nonviolent struggle) to be employed in the conflict. In planning a grand strategy resistance leaders must evaluate and plan which pressures and influences are to be brought to bear upon the opponents. Further, grand strategy will include decisions on the appropriate conditions and timing under which initial and subsequent resistance campaigns will be launched. (Emphasis added.)
Sunday, March 21, 2021
From D to D, Chapter 6 (Continued): Grand Strategy
Grand strategy is the conception that serves to coordinate and direct the use of all appropriate and available resources (economic, human, moral, political, organizational, etc.) of a group seeking to attain its objectives in a conflict. Grand strategy, by focusing primary attention on the group’s objectives and resources in the conflict, determines the most appropriate technique of action (such as conventional military warfare or nonviolent struggle) to be employed in the conflict. In planning a grand strategy resistance leaders must evaluate and plan which pressures and influences are to be brought to bear upon the opponents. Further, grand strategy will include decisions on the appropriate conditions and timing under which initial and subsequent resistance campaigns will be launched.
As tactics is an application of strategy on a lower plane, so strategy is an application on a lower plane of 'grand strategy'. If practically synonymous with the policy which governs the conduct of war, as distinct from the permanent policy which formulates its object, the term 'grand strategy' serves to bring out the sense of 'policy in execution'. For the role of grand strategy is to co-ordinate and direct all the resources of a nation towards the attainment of the political object of the war - the goal defined by national policy.
All states have a grand strategy, whether they know it or not. That is inevitable because grand strategy is simply the level at which knowledge and persuasion, or in modern terms intelligence and diplomacy, interact with military strength to determine outcomes in a world of other states with their own “grand strategies.
- First, it must be a high-level description which lays out general goals and methods, and does not descend too deeply into specifics (avoiding "getting down into the weeds", as they say). As Guy Kawasaki says, a mission statement with a couple of dozen points is very unwieldy!
- Second, it must be open to revision at first as the organizers engage in dialogue with the people whom they seek to organize. For instance, the organizer may discover during the listening and asking questions phase of his or her work that there are things that are very important to the people being organized which were missed by the organizer in the first conception of the vision of tomorrow.
- Third, the vision of tomorrow must serve to motivate people to give of themselves and their resources to a cause which involves their entire people and not just the wishes of the organizers.
- Self-sufficient, both individually and collectively (1 Thessalonians 4:11-12);
- Fully equipped to fulfill our ontogeny;
- Expert in producing beautifully good work to meet necessary needs (Titus 3:14);
- A people who can no longer be oppressed.
- We will organize our own mutual aid networks. (A potluck, NOT a free lunch!)
- We will organize our own education.
- We will organize our own training to create experts in community organizing and strategic nonviolent resistance.
- We will begin to use our collective power strategically to deny our oppressors any payoff from their oppression.
- "Defining and Teaching Grand Strategy - Foreign Policy Research Institute", Timothy Andrews Sayle
- "Defining Grand Strategy," Peter Layton
- "Grand Strategy," Wikipedia
- "It Was Grand, But Was it Strategy? Revisiting the Origins Story of Grand Strategy", David Morgan-Owen
- "Strategy and Grand Strategy: What Students and Practitioners Need to Know", Tami Davis Biddle
- "What Is Grand Strategy? Sweeping a Conceptual Minefield", Rebecca Friedman Lissner
Sunday, January 24, 2021
From D to D, Chapter 5 (Continued): The 198 Methods
- Does the method under consideration strengthen the oppressed group - either by communicating and spreading cause-consciousness, or by creating more cohesive bonds between members of the struggle group, or by meeting actual material or social needs of the struggle group?
- Does the method under consideration apply effective pressure to the oppressor? Note that in democratic or semi-democratic societies, large protest marches and rallies may not pose the same degree of threat or challenge to existing authority as such rallies would pose in a more totalitarian society. However, such rallies (and other acts of protest and persuasion such as sending symbolic objects to authorities) may sometimes indeed be perceived as a credible threat to established power even in "democratic" societies, as was seen in the heavy-handed police response to Black Lives Matter (BLM) protests which took place in the U.S. and elsewhere in 2020. Note also that the protests now occurring in Russia against the arrest of Alexei Navalny are an example of the susceptibility of brittle authoritarian regimes to disruption by mass protest. See this and this also. It seems that Putin may be losing his grip! Note, however, that a key to the success of the Russian protest movement will lie in whether or not the protestors are willing to maintain nonviolent discipline. Violence by the protestors against police will only strengthen Putin's pillars of support and make it harder for the movement to achieve its goals.
- Does the oppressor possess methods or techniques which can neutralize the chosen methods of the nonviolent struggle group?
- Remember that a major source of the strength of the nonviolent actionists is the contrast which they are able to present between themselves and their frequently violent oppressors. If these oppressors can inject an element of violence into a nonviolent method used by the nonviolent struggle group, the oppressors can damage the credibility of the nonviolent group. This happened with the Black Lives Matter protests in 2020. Although 93 percent of the protests were completely nonviolent, white agents provocateurs were able to inject violence into the remaining protests, which drew disproportionate media coverage and enabled police to justify extremely heavy-handed action against protestors. (See this and this, for instance.) This violence also led over time to a decrease in support for the BLM protests. Had the BLM protests shifted to methods and venues that precluded the injection of violence, things might have been different. On the other hand, the protests for Navalny and against Putin are taking place in a context in which Putin's repertoire of countermeasures is becoming increasingly powerless. Therefore the protests are having a significant impact.
- In addition to injecting violence into a method of nonviolent action, what else can an oppressor do to render the action ineffective? Three cases come to mind. Two of these cases were mentioned by Sharp in Part 2 of The Politics of Nonviolent Action. In one case, during the Sino-Soviet conflict of the late 1960's, a platoon of Chines soldiers began to march to the Russian border every day in order to make a rude gesture toward the Russians. This gesture involved, shall we say, "partial disrobing." However, the Russians eventually stopped these gestures when one morning they set up large pictures of Chairman Mao facing the Chinese side of the border. From that day on, the Chinese soldiers kept their clothes on. In another case, when faced with hunger strikes by political prisoners, the British government would release these prisoners when they became weak from fasting, then re-arrest them once their strength had recovered. This became an effective means of breaking hunger strikes. In much more recent times, the government of Indian Hindu ultra-nationalist Prime Minister Narendra Modi has neutralized the power of hunger strikes by untouchables in India. His solution: simply to let people die; that is, to refuse to care whether they die or not.
- Is the method under consideration the only method which the nonviolent struggle group intends to use, or is it part of a larger suite of diverse methods? As was written by a science fiction writer I read back when I was a kid, "a one trick fighter is easy to whip if you know two, and I know half a hundred." Reliance on only one method of action was the great weakness of the BLM protests last year.
- Does the chosen method contribute to the ultimate strategic goal of the struggle group? If not, it may be a waste of time from a strategic standpoint.
- Lastly, is the chosen method within the ability of the struggle group at a particular point in time and a particular stage of the struggle? For instance, if I send a thousand letters to various radio and TV stations, newspapers, and online media outlets announcing that on April 1, 2021, I will instigate a six-week total boycott of Hostess Twinkies as an act of protest against (write whatever grievance you want in this space: _____________________), I'd better have the organizational capacity to deliver on the threat if I don't want to look like a fool come April 2nd.
Sunday, January 17, 2021
From D to D, Chapter 5: Dealing With Infiltrators
- Choose an ultimate strategic goal that is utterly good and utterly blameless. For instance, if an ultimate goal of your movement is the creation of a society in which everyone has an equal share of the rights and resources needed to fulfill his or her own human potential, no one can legitimately object to that. If on the other hand, your ultimate strategic goal is the creation of a society in which you get to indulge evil and harmful pleasures at the expense of others, try to be as secret in your intentions as possible, since if you are open about them, your intended victims will sooner or later begin to organize against you. If your organization exists to harm others, beware also of infiltrators, since they will at the least tip off your intended victims!
- Create a movement strategy that does not depend on secrecy for its success. This will be easy if your movement goal is utterly blameless. If on the other hand, you have formed an organization whose goals can be summarized by slogans such as "Child Molesters Of The World, Unite!" or "People for the Torture of Animals," creating a strategy that does not depend on secrecy will be much harder.
- Your movement goals and strategy should not involve physical harm, sabotage, or property destruction. Then if informers or other agents discover it, they will not be able to accuse you of any intentions of wrongdoing.
- Your movement goals and strategy should include a road map for building up your oppressed brothers and sisters through your own self-reliance. This will show that you are actively managing your own affairs for good, and will neutralize the oppressor's claims that you need to be oppressed because you are disorderly or shiftless or lazy.
- Once you have created your movement goals and strategy, make them known to as many people as possible. This will put informers and other agents out of work, as there will be nothing left for them to inform on. And if a provocateur comes to cause trouble, you can point to him and say, "Remember the strategy we publicized. This man does not represent our brand!" You will be believed if you have made your strategy open and have conducted yourself honorably and with high moral and ethical standards. To quote Jawaharlal Nehru (a contemporary of Gandhi), "Above all, we had a sense of freedom and a pride in that freedom. The old feeling of oppression and frustration was completely gone. There was no more whispering, no round-about legal phraseology to avoid getting into trouble with the authorities. We said what we felt and shouted it out from the house tops. What did we care for the consequences? Prison? We looked forward to it; that would help our cause still further. The innumerable spies and secret-service men who used to surround us and follow us about became rather pitiable individuals as there was nothing secret for them to discover. All our cards were always on the table." (Quote taken from HNVSW, pages 63-64.)
- Do not seek to grow too quickly. Quality is much more important than quantity at the beginning, and high quality is the most durable way to obtain high quantities of powerful participants. This is yet another reason why the sort of hastily thrown-together mass protests that have characterized the second decade of the 21st century do not represent real power. When one man teaches a small group, and that group learns its lessons well enough that each of its members can in turn skillfully teach others, you have the beginnings of real power.
Sunday, December 20, 2020
From D to D, Chapter 5: Exercising Power
- It does not accept that the outcome will be decided by the means of fighting chosen by the dictatorship.
- It is difficult for the regime to combat.
- It can uniquely aggravate weaknesses of the dictatorship and can sever its sources of power.
- It can in action be widely dispersed but can also be concentrated on a specific objective.
- It leads to errors of judgment and action by the dictators.
- It can effectively utilize the population as a whole and the society's groups and institutions in the struggle to end the brutal domination of the few.
- It helps to spread the distribution of effective power in the society, making the establishment and maintenance of a democratic society more possible."
- The struggle group uses a variety of tactics to wage the struggle, instead of fixating on only one or two methods. This is one key ingredient which makes a successful struggle hard for the ruling oppressive regime to combat. Note that Gene Sharp identified 198 methods of nonviolent action which can be used and which have been used historically in nonviolent struggle. And Sharp himself admitted that there were many other effective methods of nonviolent action which he had not included in his list.
- The tactics of nonviolent struggle are chosen according to a wise grand strategy of liberation, a strategy with strategic goals.
- The struggle group maintains high ethical and moral standards in its conduct, standards which enable it to present a stark contrast between itself and its the oppressors who are its opponent. Among these high moral standards are the commitment to "tell the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth," because "no lie is of the truth." This leads to the commitment to live in truth, as Vaclav Havel pointed out in his writings. This choice to behave according to high moral standards also puts the oppressor into a dilemma whenever he or his agents try to shut down the struggle group.
- As part of maintaining high ethical and moral standards, the struggle group maintains nonviolent discipline even when facing a violent opponent. In other words, the struggle group refuses to take up arms, to engage in violence against human beings (including retaliatory violence), or to destroy property.
- As part of the display of high ethical and moral standards, the struggle group operates very much in the open. Secrecy and conspiracies are rejected. Instead, the group openly declares its aims and methods. This shows both the opponent and the general population that the struggle group has nothing to hide, because it is not engaged in anything that is immoral.
- To try to make the practitioners of nonviolent struggle resemble the oppressor as much as possible by adopting the oppressor's means of fighting to the greatest extent possible. This shifts the struggle onto a ground in which the means of fighting are chosen by the dictator, and thus the struggle is easy for the oppressor's regime to combat.
- To redefine the concept of strategic nonviolent resistance in such a way that the moral and ethical advantages of would-be resisters are erased.
- To reduce the popular conception of nonviolent resistance into a small set of activities that can be easily controlled, outlawed or hijacked - for instance, by defining resistance solely as mass protest rallies and marches. Note that Russian lawmakers have been busy passing a number of extremely restrictive laws against mass protest. Perhaps Putin's regime is feeling a bit insecure, no? And yet mass protest can be fairly easily neutralized or hijacked, as was demonstrated during some of the many Black Lives Matter protests this past summer.
Sunday, October 18, 2020
From D to D, Chapter 3 (Continued): Centers of Democratic Power
In the previous post in this series, we looked briefly at the mechanism by which the power of an oppressive regime is destroyed: the mass application of defiance and noncooperation by the citizens or subjects of the regime. This was illustrated by the 14th century Chinese fable titled, Rule By Tricks (renamed "The Monkey Master fable" by Gene Sharp in his book From Dictatorship to Democracy which I have shortened to From D to D in my posts), which described how an old man fed himself by enslaving a troop of monkeys, and how the monkeys killed the old man - not by a violent physical attack, but by escaping from him. For in enslaving the monkeys to serve him, the old man had become dependent on them - thus granting them a certain power over him, a power which they applied in refusing to serve him any longer.
We then moved on to a discussion of the institutions and groups which comprise an oppressor's institutional base of power, as well as those institutions and groups which comprise the base of power of those who resist oppression. Obviously, these two bases of power are in opposition to each other. And each of these is engaged in a contest to strengthen itself and to dissolve its opponent. In the oppressor's base of power, there are three groups of people. The first group consists of those who are so ideologically, socially or psychically wedded to the oppressor's cause that they are unreconstructable - they will never repent of their desire to oppress and dominate, and they will never abandon the oppressor. The second group consists of those who may side with the oppressor as long as the oppression is personally beneficial to them and their associates - yet who can be persuaded to abandon the oppressor when their allegiance to the oppressor begins to seriously cost them. As an example of this second group, many "Red" state Republicans in the U.S. who have decided to vote for Biden did so because their allegiance to Trump began to seriously cost them - especially as a result of the trade war with China and the spread of COVID-19 into Trump country. The third group consists of those supporters of the oppressor who are sincerely deluded, yet who can be persuaded by moral arguments to withdraw their support.
Similarly, the society ruled by an oppressor is composed of three groups of people. The first consists of the oppressor's base of support. The second consists of those who are neutral as far as their actions are concerned - who, regardless of how they feel about the oppressor, continue to obey him due to social inertia or unquestioned, unexamined submission to the oppressor's authority, the long-standing subconscious conditioning by psychological and ideological factors which produces that submission. The third consists of those who have been activized to resist the oppressor and to disintegrate his regime in order to replace it with something better. These activized people comprise what is known as the struggle group. In order to disintegrate the oppressor's regime by nonviolent means, the struggle group must work through the society's independent institutions and groups to persuade a critical mass of people to withdraw their cooperation from the oppressor's regime. That noncooperation can be social, political, or economic, yet when it reaches a certain critical mass (and is accompanied by a compelling "vision of the future" articulated by the struggle group), it causes members of the formerly neutral population to take notice and to begin to join the movement of noncooperation. As the noncooperation movement begins to gather strength, it causes the pragmatists and the sincerely deluded who are members of the oppressor's pillars of support to begin to question their allegiance. This is especially true as the support provided by members of the oppressor's base begins to get costly for the supporters. It is by this means that the psychological and ideological factors which cause people to grant authority to the oppressor are neutralized.
Let me repeat: it is through the society's independent social groups and institutions that mass noncooperation must be applied. (Note: the word "independent" means free from dependence on or control by the oppressor's regime or its agents.) As Gene Sharp says in Chapter 3 of From D to D, "Isolated individuals, not members of such groups, usually are unable to make a significant impact on the rest of the society, much less a government, and certainly not a dictatorship." So let's examine these independent institutions and groups in more detail. In addition to such obviously political organizations as political parties, trade unions, and human rights organizations, Sharp mentions a number of other types of such groups, including those which are not obvious change agents such as families, sports clubs, religious organizations, gardening clubs, and musical groups. Yet the existence of such groups and institutions - even when they are independent of the oppressor - does not automatically guarantee the emergence of a successful movement for liberation. In other words, the existence of these groups is a necessary, but not sufficient condition.
To see what more is needed, we need to turn to another social movement scholar, namely, feminist scholar Jo Freeman, who wrote two essays that describe additional necessary ingredients. The name of one of these essays is "On the Origins of Social Movements," and the other is "The Origins of the Women's Liberation Movement." In these two essays, Freeman delves more deeply into the subject of how a movement is constructed from pre-existing conditions. For a movement to emerge from pre-existing independent groups and institutions which are not necessarily "movement" organizations as far as their origins, three things must be present:
- A preexisting communications network or infrastructure within the social base of the organizations. If such a network does not exist or only partially exists, then an organizer or team of organizers must create that network.
- The network must be "co-optable to the new ideas of the incipient movement." To co-opt a group is to turn that group from its original purpose and agenda to the agenda of the co-opters. As Freeman says, "To be co-optable, [the network] must be compsed of like-minded people whose background, experiences, or location in the social structure make them receptive to the ideas of a specific new movement." These like-minded people must also be able to imagine channels for social action which can realize movement goals. Or, as Freeman says, "A co-optable network, therefore, is one whose members have had common experiences which predispose them to be receptive to the particular ideas of the incipient movement and who are not faced with [or, my note, who know how to overcome] structural or ideological barriers to action. If the new movement as an 'innovation' can interpret these experiences and perceptions in ways that point out channels for social action, then participation in social movement becomes the logical thing to do."
- This network must find itself in a situation of strain in which action can be precipitated - either by a crisis or by an organizer or organizers who "begin organizing... or disseminating a new idea." The organizers' job is easiest when they have "a fertile field in which to work". This fertile field is characterized by emerging spontaneous groups who are acutely aware of the issue around which the organizer seeks to organize. If these spontaneous groups do not exist, the organizer's first job is to create them by bringing together the people most affected by oppression, to begin to talk about their common experience, or, in other words, to "raise the consciousness" of the people most affected.