Thursday, April 24, 2025
Repost: Gantry Collapse
Sunday, August 14, 2022
You Won't Mind Your Own Business, So Why Are You Trying To Mind Mine?
"The 2022 Siberian wildfires are a series of ongoing wildfires in Siberia, Russia that began in Siberia in early May 2022. Fires are concentrated in the Krasnoyarsk, Altai, Irkutsk, Kemerovo, Omsk, Kurgan regions, Khakassia and Sakha republics. The total area of fires, as of 15 May, is about 20 thousand hectares, and since the beginning of 2022 - more than 100 thousand hectares."
The Wikipedia article also has a map which illustrates how much of the Russian landscape has been plagued by the fires this year. (Click on this link to see or download the map.) From this map we can see that nearly a third of the Russian land mass was affected by wildfires as of May. Russian president Vladimir Putin called for aggressive action to deal with the wildfires, but it should be obvious that his statements are merely a blowing of useless smoke. For the track record of the Russian government from at least as far back as 2019 shows a singular lack of willingness to effectively deal with the wildfire threat. And by spending so many Russian resources in trying to take over other people's countries, Putin has left very little to competently manage the affairs of his own country. Score another point for that thieving little man in his bunker and his piece-of-garbage regime. This is the man who was worshiped by an idiot named Donald John Trump.
Wednesday, February 2, 2022
What We All Are Getting From Your Tax Rubles
Sunday, October 31, 2021
Nimrod's High School Yearbook
Friday, August 13, 2021
The Scorching of the 45th And Beyond
This is another quick post. In view of the record-breaking heat across much of the Global North this summer, I thought it might be instructive to document the effect which that heat has had in my particular locale. So here are a few pictures from my garden and backyard, along with some comments. These pictures were taken about ten days ago, and they document the damage which was caused by the Pacific Northwest heat wave of late June.
Heat stress suffered by a shade tree in the backyard. Note the yellow, dead leaves. |
Another view of the same tree. |
Damaged leaves and fruit on the apple tree. |
Heat damage suffered by a hazelnut tree. Again, note the discolored leaves. |
Heat injury to a conifer. Note the dead branches and withered needles. |
What the heat did to the kale. The scorched leaves are discolored. |
The artichoke plant turned into a space alien! |
The summer squash did well. The zucchini (not shown) - not so much. |
Whoa! Vashka! How'd you get into this picture?! |
Saturday, September 26, 2020
Causes of Cognitive Dissonance and National Narcissistic Rage
Here's another "quickie" post. And it has to do with White American foreign policy under Donald Trump and the perceptions of other nations which have been created for American consumption by its most powerful media outlets. I want to make one suggestion and one observation. The suggestion: the foreign policy of the United States against China is actually an expression of White supremacist narcissistic rage against China on account of the fact that a nation of over one billion non-White people has made itself an independent success. That was not supposed to happen. Rather, China was supposed to live forever in the thrall of the United States, because China was supposed to be forever dependent on the United States. The United States was supposed to be forever the dominant player, dictating to everyone else on earth what they can and cannot do. China is neatly contradicting that expectation. You may not know this, but China has successfully orbited two space stations and sent a robot probe to the moon, and has launched a robot mission to Mars.
And China is not the only nonwhite, non-European nation to have begun its own exploration of outer space. The United Arab Emirates has also launched a robot probe to Mars. China and the UAE join India in the successful development of demanding technologies for space travel.
But the most pleasantly surprising news is much closer to home. When COVID-19 first broke upon the world scene, many commentators in the Global North expected that the pandemic would decimate the nations of Black Africa, who were seen as perennial "savages" perennially in need of rescue by White "saviors." However, it now appears that the nations of the African continent have done very, very well in containing the pandemic and limiting both infections and deaths. Living on the African continent is becoming safer than living in the United States. This is due to the commonsense approaches of various African governments to the challenge of providing health care for the common good. (For what it's worth, I should also note that according to one source, the nations of Africa have a better airline safety record than Russia.)
In short, the rest of the world seems to have learned in large measure how to live (and to live well!) without the United States. This will undoubtedly deprive Trump of the narcissistic supply he had hoped to enjoy by withholding access to America and its resources from people whom he deemed to be much more needy than America. Instead of that enjoyment, Trump now finds himself in the position of the evil mother in the Grimm fairy tale Snow White.
Monday, September 14, 2020
A Bed In Sheol
- Portland Oregon Weather Underground
- Oregon Department of Environmental Quality - Air Quality Monitoring Data
- Oregon Smoke Information
- AirNow Interactive Map of Air Quality
- Smoke Forecast - FireSmoke.ca
Call my preoccupation a fetish, but as Samuel Johnson once said, "Depend upon it, Sir, when a man knows he is to be hanged in a fortnight, it concentrates his mind wonderfully." This year is beginning to feel to me like the run-up to a mass execution. First, the stupidity and malignancy of Donald Trump. Then the coronavirus. Then the emergence of a blatant, murderous racism reminiscent of the American South in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, including the very public murders of unarmed African-Americans. Now massive wildfires for those of us in the American West, and a very active hurricane season for those on the eastern and southern seaboards of the United States.
A few facts about the wildfires. First, for the last three days, the smoke has produced widespread areas of pollution levels that have been designated as hazardous by State and Federal agencies. That's "hazardous", as in, "Any exposure to the air, even for a few minutes, can lead to serious health effects on everybody. Avoid outdoor activities." Second, the three biggest pollutants of concern have been smoke particles with diameters of 2.5 microns and below, smoke particles in the 10 micron range, and carbon monoxide. The presence of carbon monoxide is especially troubling because CO is only produced when there is not enough oxygen present to ensure at least a stoichiometric mix of oxygen and carbon-bearing materials.
Many of the fires have been caused by downed power lines or by lightning. Many of the fires have also been caused by typical human activity. But the fires have also become yet another occasion for political posturing by the American Right. Trump claims that this season's wildfires are the result of "poor forest management," but the facts don't support him. Many of the wildfires that have started this fall did not originate in forests. And there is overwhelming scientific evidence that the worsening fire seasons worldwide are a consequence of manmade climate change. Much of that evidence was compiled over the last two or three decades by national laboratories funded by the United States Government. Names like Livermore, Berkeley, and Argonne come to mind. These national laboratories are now the victims of Trump budget cuts. Therefore I expect that like the coronavirus, or deteriorating social relations, or fraying social safety nets, or a declining currency, Trump will willfully and deliberately botch his response to this exigency also.
And that had me thinking at 4 am this morning. You see, these things don't just impact me as a series of facts that fit into an analysis. (Even though I'm rather strongly geeky!) I am thinking of how last Monday I enjoyed an evening walk through the neighborhood and spent time in my backyard watering the veggies and playing my guitar beneath a clear twilight sky with two cats at my feet. That was my chill time, my therapy which enabled me to cope with a world that has recently become chaotic because of rich and powerful doofuses who want to Make Themselves Great Again due to long-standing inferiority complexes. Trump is such a doofus. But I thought I had learned to take him in stride even as I saw through his attempts to cause chaos. Now the consequences of his doofus chaos have flared up in new and unexpected ways - much like the re-emergence of flames from a fire that was not properly put out. And it's not just his doofus-ness. It's his constant gaslighting, his absolute refusal to tell the truth about anything, lest he lose what he perceives to be the advantage of pulling the wool over the eyes of those who listen to him. It's getting to be a bit much.
So because I had a hard time sleeping at 4 am, I was searching the Web for stories of Americans who have left the country for good within the last few years. And I was checking out what it would take for me to emigrate to Canada. (I found out that I'm just a few points shy of the minimum needed for a technical professional to be allowed to emigrate.) But then I thought of the people I'd be abandoning if I did such a thing. And I thought of how even the world's best places did not start out that way. They were built by the sweat equity of those who were willing to sacrifice to try to construct a righteous order in the midst of chaos. I also thought of how some of the world's best places are under attack from those who want to impose their chaos on what was a righteous order. Becoming a refugee is a temporary protection at best. And one can't be a refugee forever.
But trying to build or defend a righteous order in the midst of the chaos that is the United States just now seems to me like trying to make my bed in Sheol. (Or if you like the King James Bible, it seems like trying to make my bed in hell.) At least the Good Book promises that though I make my bed in such places, there is One Who is with me. And the art of making a sleep-worthy bed in unpleasant places will become a valuable skill as the great societies of the world run up against the reality of resource constraints and as their leaders grapple with the involuntary ending of their dreams of godhood. On that note, I'm going to lie down and try to take a nap.
P.S. Here and here are a couple of links to some interesting articles on wildfires and climate change.
Sunday, July 5, 2020
The Go To Jail Truth
- That the universe which we all inhabit is a moral universe ruled by the moral standard of a righteous Creator;
- That an essential pillar of that moral standard is the duty of each human being to treat his or her fellow human beings with dignity and charity;
- That the Creator of the universe stands ready to enforce His righteous moral standard by imposing consequences on those who break that standard;
- And that since the most privileged members of the United States have broken that moral standard in making themselves great by murdering and oppressing their fellow human beings, the consequences of this moral breach have begun to spread throughout American society. I have called these consequences the outworkings of damnation.
But what is interesting is that in searching for the evidences of the outworkings of damnation among the privileged, the searcher encounters various flavors and levels of "truth". The particular flavor of truth which the searcher encounters will depend on whom he asks for that "truth". If he or she asks the holders of power and privilege, the answer contained in their words will be very different from the answer which might be obtained by planting hidden cameras, listening devices and skillful spies to observe the affairs of the holders of privilege and power. This is not surprising, since the wealth of the privileged consists not only in the actual physical assets which they have, but in the image of wealth and power which they are able to project to the world. In fact, if a person's image is strong enough, he can get a lot of what he needs or wants based on image alone - whether it's obtaining a huge line of credit because he looks like he is rich enough to repay his loan, or whether it's successfully intimidating someone else because the bully has made himself look too powerful to resist. We might call this projection of an idealized image "managed truth." (Kind of like "managed democracy", isn't it?)
Last week, the United States was treated to an example of this "managed truth" in the latest employment report by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. The Trump administration celebrated this report by shouting that the American economy is "coming back faster, bigger, and better than we ever thought possible" in the face of the coronavirus pandemic because 4.8 million jobs were added to the economy between mid-May and mid-June. However, as a number of sources have reported (see this, this, and this for instance), this supposed recovery does not reflect the state of the economy as it is today. For these jobs were added during the hasty and ill-conceived rush by many states to reopen their economies, and those states are being forced now to backtrack their reopenings due to an explosion of COVID-19 cases. Moreover, the vast majority of jobs that were added are in the restaurant, hospitality and retail sectors - sectors which are most likely to be shut down again due to the resurgence of the COVID-19 pandemic. Some actual figures from the BLS are given below:
- Hospitality and Leisure - 2.1 million jobs added
- Food Service and Drinking Places (bars) - 1.5 million jobs added
- Amusements, Gambling and Recreation - 353,000 jobs added
- Retail Trade - 740,000 jobs added.
So if seekers for the truth of things - especially those who wish to accurately track the outworkings of damnation - cannot rely on official statements from those who are experiencing that damnation, where can they turn? One possible source of truth is the official reports and communications which the most privileged members of society share with each other, for it is these reports which are most frequently used as the basis for the decisions made by these privileged members. Petroleum geologist Arthur E. Berman once referred to these reports as "the go to jail truth". Why refer to these as the "go to jail truth"? Because if the captains of certain industries lie to each other (or to government agencies like the Securities and Exchange Commission) about the actual state of their industries and market sectors, a whole lot of people stand to lose great big money - thus (hopefully) obliging the liars to go to jail. The threat of jail time is usually enough to keep most people honest in their official reporting.
But what if the most privileged members of society have corrupted themselves to such a point that they will stop at nothing in order to enrich themselves at everyone else's expense? For evil is progressive. The first step is to disregard moral restraints against taking advantage of one's fellow human beings. The last step is to disregard even the physical or financial realities of one's situation in the desire to be godlike. Along the way, people who have thus given themselves to evil stop telling even the "go to jail truth", and the organizations, businesses and polities headed by them enter the realm of willful blindness. Last week the State of Texas entered this realm, as a state which rushed the reopening of its economy and which is now facing the overwhelming of its medical system due to COVID-19 cases that have spiraled out of control. But if you want to find out how much the Texas medical system has become overwhelmed, good luck asking the State government. They won't tell you.
According to Margaret Heffernan's book Willful Blindness: Why We Ignore The Obvious At Our Peril, organizations and polities operating under willful blindness have certain characteristics. First, most of the lower level inhabitants or employees know that something smells rotten. Second, many of them can actually see some of the skeletons in closets and/or dead bodies under beds. Third, the higher-ups in these organizations and polities will have created an environment that is hostile to truth-tellers. Fourth, such organizations and polities tend to break down rather suddenly and dramatically in a way that surprises the outside world even though the lower level people on the inside could see the breakdown a long time in coming. The collapse of Enron is a good case in point.
How can seekers of truth track the outworkings of damnation through organizations or polities which have entered the phase of willful blindness? Ms. Heffernan gives us some suggestions on pages 237 and 238 of her book. First, we need to have a sense of history - especially the history of the collapse of dysfunctional organizations. By studying the collapse of a multitude of types of organizations along with a multitude of types of organizational dysfunction, we can get a sense of the general trends along which the outworkings of damnation are likely to propagate. Once we recognize these trends, we watch the dysfunctional organization to see if we can spot the "weak signals" which indicate a trend. Where the weak signals accumulate, a trend is likely emerging. It was attention to these weak signals that enabled a CIA analyst named Herb Meyer to predict the collapse of the Soviet Union several years before it happened.
And this bears thinking about a bit more deeply. For I'd like to suggest that Putin's Russia may be headed for a second collapse. As someone living in America, I have focused largely on trying to track the outworkings of damnation in American society - yet the United States is by no means the only nation which is worthy of damnation. Russia has proven itself over the years to be at least the equal of the U.S. when it comes to national narcissism and the desire to make itself great at everyone else's expense. (See this, this, this, this, and this for instance.) Putin's use of dirty tricks (such as election-tampering, promotion of far-Right/racist/skinhead organizations, assassinations, and now bounties) to make Russia great by tearing down the West have also been well-documented over the years. Indeed, when one reads M. Scott Peck's description of malignant narcissism in his book People of the Lie, one can't help but think of Russia under Putin. To quote Peck, "As life often threatens their self-image of perfection, they are often busily engaged in hating and destroying that life - usually in the name of righteousness." When observing Russia, therefore, some weak signals to watch out for include watching what happens to truth tellers in Russia who reveal Russia's imperfections. Another (not-so-weak) signal is the Russian attempt to meddle in other people's lives in order to destroy them. (He who spends all his time minding other people's business doesn't have time to mind his own!) A third weak signal is seeing how frantic the Russians (and their mouthpieces in the West) become when the fig leaves sewn by Russia to cover its shame slip in the least bit to expose some raw flesh. Watch the weak signals.
Sunday, April 26, 2020
The Psychodynamics of Losing
One can see these psychodymanics at work in the conflict between the ruling class (and their propagandists, the false prophets) versus the prophets of God who announced that God was about to destroy the kingdom of Judah. One might call these rulers and their false prophets the revanchists, the "nationalists" and "patriots" of their day, because they represented the hope that Judah might remain as an independent kingdom subservient to no one, and that Judah might one day regain all the lost glory of the kingdom of Solomon. Their desire for a return of lost glory could be viewed as an expression of national narcissism, because this desire for lost glory was not accompanied by a willingness to submit to their God.
On the other hand were the true prophets who accurately prophesied that God was about to destroy Judah. This sentence, "God is about to destroy Judah", had three implications:
- that the nation in which the rulers and the people had invested their identity was about to be destroyed;
- that God was the One who would do the destroying;
- and that this destruction was God's commentary, His verdict on the nation, its character and practices, as captured in the following quote: "Will you steal, murder, and commit adultery, and swear falsely, and burn incense to Baal, and walk after other gods that you have not known, then come and stand before Me in this house, which is called by My name, and say 'We are delivered!' - that you may do all these abominations?" (Jeremiah 7:9-10)
And this willingness to fight to the death to maintain a cause that is both immoral and losing made me think of other instances in history in which humans have chosen to fight for such causes. There is the obvious case of the second destruction of Jerusalem in 70 AD, a destruction which resulted from the rebellion of Jewish ethno-nationalists against the Roman Empire. But there is also the case of Nazi Germany from 1942 to 1945, in which the Wehrmacht chose to fight to the death rather than lose an identity which had been carefully constructed for them by the rulers of their society and which made sense only within the context of that society. (Side note: did you know that the motto of the Wehrmacht was "Gott mit uns" - that is, "God with us"?) And there is the example of the last days of both Rome and Byzantium. The fall of the Byzantine empire is noteworthy, as the decline of Byzantium was a long time in the making. The Byzantine emperors had focused for so long on infighting to maintain themselves as the top dogs in their empire that they had failed to notice that the world was changing around them while their empire was weakening. Nearly a century before their final fall, one of their emperors was arrested in Venice for outstanding debts incurred by hiring Crusader mercenaries in an attempt to recapture lost territory. (You might say that he nearly went broke trying to Make Byzantium Great Again.) During its last years, the Byzantine empire could only watch helplessly as its enemies obtained the most advanced military technology of the day - namely, devices capable of shooting large projectiles by means of gunpowder. These devices (cannons, to be precise) were the decisive factor in the fall of Constantinople, in which the last Byzantine emperor fought to the death.
Which brings me to the present day, in which those who cling to the hope of their own supremacy at the expense of everyone else on earth are beginning to fall on hard times. I am thinking particularly of Donald Trump and the regime he represents and of which he is a chief symptom. Consider these facts:
- The United States has lost its place among the top ten most innovative countries in the world. This is due to decades of underinvestment in education at all levels in this country.
- The United States has seriously begun to lose intellectual capital from this country, as smart foreign nationals (and some smart native-born Americans) are choosing either to stay away, or to relocate to other countries. (See this and this.) These are the results of a certain American brand of xenophobia/racism combined with longstanding cuts in funding for basic research. Continued American racism and hostility toward anything Chinese is not helping this trend.
- Speaking of China, by most accounts, Donald Trump has lost the trade war he started. (As an aside, for those members of the global Far Right who were hoping that Russia could return the world to where it was several decades ago, it appears that Russia has lost its recent oil price war with Saudi Arabia. In losing that war, it has lost far more in the process.)
- Because of Trump's blunders and malignant stupidity in his response to the coronavirus threat, the office of the Presidency (and with it the entire Executive Branch of the Federal Government) is losing its relevance in shaping American national life, as governors of states team up with each other to provide leadership for the good of their citizens without consulting Trump. (See this also.)
- Speaking again of coronavirus, the United States has decisively lost its former place as global leader and coordinator of global crisis response, as over twenty nations (including the most powerful nations of Europe) have publicly met via videoconference this past week to begin coordination of a global response to the coronavirus pandemic. (So much, by the way, for Russian hopes of fracturing the world order for its own benefit!) The United States was not invited to the call. (See this also.) Note also that these nations have thrown their full support behind the World Health Organization - counter to the wishes of Mr. Trump. This makes it very likely that effective remedies to the coronavirus pandemic will not be produced by the United States.
- According to some reports, the U.S. Dollar is about to lose a significant portion of its value vis-a-vis other currencies over the next several months. This is partly the result of government-mandated corporate bailouts (pushed by Trump and the Republican establishment) that have helped corporations prop up stock prices without creating any new actual value in the American economy.
Saturday, March 28, 2020
Playing With Matches In A Paper House
- We now know that of all people who become infected with COVID-19, approximately 80 to 81 percent will develop mild illness and fully recover. However, 19 to 20 percent will develop severe disease, with five percent developing "critical disease" according to this source.
- We also know that while early reports stated that young people were significantly less likely to develop severe disease than older people, later data has shown that young people are still at significant risk of developing severe disease. This source reports that nearly 40 percent of those hospitalized in the United States for COVID-19 were under 55 years old. The majority of hospitalizations in New York are for people under 50 years old. And there are sources such as this which present the personal stories of strong, accomplished young athletes who have been seriously sickened by COVID-19.
- We know that the death rate as a percentage of total cases of COVID-19 has been climbing in the United States. When the first outbreaks occurred, the U.S. death rate was from 1 to 1.5 percent. However, the latest percentage for New York City is approximately 1.7 percent. (Click this link and then do the math.) What happens when the health care systems of the various states are overwhelmed is another matter. Consider, for instance, what would happen to the 19-to-20 percent of an infected population who develop severe disease, yet who don't have access to health care because their health care systems have been overwhelmed. Then the U.S. death rate might almost certainly exceed 5 percent, and might even go as high as 10 percent.
As I look at the ways in which Trump and his cohort have tried to spin this crisis, I have found myself asking questions, such as, what drives Trump? What are his strategic motivations? What is his long-term thinking? (Sometimes I ask these same questions about either one of my two cats as I see them staring off into space. But they are cool and not sinister, whereas Trump is evil.)
To the extent that he thinks at all, Trump seeks to rebuild White "great power" autarky as it existed over 100 years ago. However, it was never really "autarky", was it? What really happened was that the great colonial powers, after they had exhausted their own resource base, sought to keep themselves great by stealing the bodies, lands, and stuff of all the other peoples on earth, laying claim that "this piece of land which we 'discovered', along with its people, now belongs to this particular Northern nation." This has been the motivation behind American military and economic interventions under Trump, as well as his thwarted desire to build a wall to keep the nonwhite nations of the earth from coming to the United States in search of that which was stolen from them. But it has also been the motivation behind the efforts of the United States and Russia to neutralize and destroy any independent power centers that are not European or Slavic. Hence, Trump has sought to "weaponize" the coronavirus in a soft-power sense by calling it "the Wuhan virus" or "the Chinese virus" in his bid to demonize and other-ize people of Asian descent. Unfortunately, there are knuckleheads in the United States who have followed his lead and perpetrated recent hate crimes against Asian-Americans. But this response is typical of the narcissism which says, "If there's any imperfection among us, it can't possibly be with me! It must belong to someone else!" Such a response is not helpful, because it ignores the fact that white people can transmit the coronavirus just as easily as anyone else. Consider Boris Johnson, Rand Paul, and the flocks of high school and college students who went to beaches in Florida on spring break, got infected by each other, and brought the COVID-19 infection back to their fellows at their home campuses.
But while we can acknowledge the possibility that Trump "thinks" in some sense, it is also true that he "feels" - that is, certain situations produce in him strong visceral reactions. As a narcissist, therefore, he cannot handle having to deal with predicaments that are beyond his control, predicaments which require a collective response shaped by many diverse points of view, a response that patiently takes a long view, a response that acknowledges that there are no quick fixes, a response that is humble and open in the face of difficulty. The current COVID-19 outbreak is just such a difficulty, and Trump has acted like a fish out of water in the face of it. Thus he has tried desperately to spin this crisis into something where he can be seen as decisively in charge, the leader of the cavalry coming over the hill with a promised quick fix. This is what is behind the gaggle of questionable "medical experts" seen on Fox News who have backed Trump's assertions that the coronavirus was no worse than the "seasonal flu" or who have pushed questionable remedies such as chloroquine as a cure.
(Trump's obsession with chloroquine deserves special mention. The only reason he heard about the drug at all in connection with COVID-19 is because of a certain French microbiologist with sketchy credentials and practices, who contacted Fox News and told them that he had successfully treated COVID-19 infected patients with the drug. Note that chloroquine has never been used as an antiviral drug. Note also that the Chinese government ran a study of their own which showed that chloroquine had no effect on the course of COVID-19 in patients. Lastly, it should be mentioned that at least one person has died from trying to self-medicate using a form of chloroquine found in fish tank cleaner.)
And now, Trump has already long since tired of trying to act "presidential" in the face of a crisis which does not offer quick fixes. (He and his friends are also tired of losing money to a crisis which they let get out of hand.) Hence, he wants the United States to return to being "open for business" by Easter, with no restrictions on travel or gatherings (or, most importantly, shopping!). That brings up some interesting possibilities. Right now, his approval rating is hovering around 50 percent. Say that represents 150 million Americans. Say that they also do what he says and return to "life as normal" starting on Easter. This means abandoning social distancing and self-isolation. Say also that 70 percent of these people wind up becoming infected with COVID-19. That would equate to 105 million people. To make the numbers easier to deal with, let's say 100 million. Out of these 100 million, 20 million will get sick enough to require hospitalization. But long before we reach the 20 million mark, the health care systems throughout much of the United States will be overwhelmed. That means that between 5 and 10 million could die.
The COVID-19 outbreak will cause an inevitable contraction of the American economy. If the people of the United States do the right thing and continue to aggressively self-quarantine and self-isolate, the only thing we will lose is money - and we will be taking the shortest route to recovery in the process. If we try to push our re-opening too soon, our economy will contract for another reason - the economic and social disruption that results from millions of us dying. In seeking to re-open the country for business by Easter, Trump is playing with matches in a paper house.
Saturday, July 15, 2017
The Revanchism of the Third Rome (Part 1)
Her series of posts on Russia contain, I am sure, some barbs of the sort which arise from the deeply unpleasant history that builds up between people who are related enough to each other to really get on each other's nerves when they live too long near each other. However, her posts also present a thought-provoking analysis which lines up with many aspects of Russia's official "face" which I had observed over the last few years "from the side," as some Russians say. As one can see from her writings, the danger of national narcissism is not limited to certain nations. Any nation can fall into such a derangement if the conditions are right. Her posts also shed a great deal of light on Russia's unhealthy interest in the affairs of non-Russian nations, including the interest which has been "lavished" on the United States during the last major election cycle.
What conditions does she then identify in the case of Russia? First, let's consider her thumbnail sketch of NPD. To me, she seems to be right on in stating that NPD is a compensatory response to feelings of inferiority. As Olga writes,
"Narcissism always starts with an inferiority complex. A narcissist feels his/her insignificance and hates him/herself for this. This hatred causes shame, and in attempt to protect him/herself from this shame the narcissist builds up an ideal person which he/she pretends to be. But any hint of criticism shatters this ideal image, which is intolerable. Therefore, the critic is treated as an enemy.
Any sane person can ask: why so complicated? If you feel shame, you just stop doing what causes this shame and stop feeling shame. Profit! That is true, but not for the narcissist. The narcissistic shame is different from the ordinary shame: there is no particular reason for it, the narcissist is ashamed just of being imperfect. Which means: just of being human."Dealing with this shame in a truly effective way is quite scary. It is painful work to learn to live gracefully, humbly and honorably within the limits which your Creator has imposed on you, just as it is also painful to for most of us to admit that we have faults and sins to be repented of. Indeed, for the narcissist, choosing to give up the grandiose self and accept one's humanity - one's ordinariness and imperfection - is like experiencing a death. For a narcissist, the only thing worse is the involuntary disintegration of the narcissist's grandiose self in response to external events. That does lead some narcissists to choose physical death.
What then is the source of Russian narcissism as expressed in foreign and domestic governmental policy? What is root of the inferiority complex that the national grandiose self is supposed to cover up? According to Olga, that inferiority complex is the result of perceived historical technological, social and economic underdevelopment in comparison to Europe. And as suggested by Olga, this inferiority complex has historically been felt most keenly by the elites of Russia, including the tsars and other nobility, and the intellectual class (many of whom were also of the nobility). Therefore, the elites, from tsar to nobility to intellectuals in the service of the tsar and the nobles, all collaborated, often consciously, to build a collective identity consisting of a national grandiose self. This grandiose self, bejeweled with the virtues of a soldier (bravery, courage, spirituality, ability to endure hardship for a greater good, reverent submission to authorities, etc.), was meant both to inspire ordinary Russians (many of whom were serfs - that is, slaves - from the 11th century to the mid 19th century) to enthusiastically answer their masters' calls to arms, and to promote meek submission to the hardships under which Russian "commoners" lived. It was also meant to inoculate the populace against the desire for social change - even though, from time to time, some ordinary Russians were able to see how much better off many Europeans were, particularly in being allowed to live as free people.
Thus one of the chief "virtues" of this grandiose self was the ability to meekly submit to suffering - the suffering which must be endured for the sake of achieving the greater good of building a truly "great" nation. This meek submission was summarized in the notion of "the enigmatic Russian soul", the inmost being of a nation that had gladly accepted its calling to suffer as a "collective Christ" in order to bring light and redemption to the world. Never mind that the sufferings borne by the Russian masses were in many cases inflicted by those who held power in Russian society. Never mind also that the redemption which Russia believed itself called to bring to the world was to be brought by violent imperial expansion.
A chief ingredient needed for this grandiose self was the presence of a cast of inferior characters against whom this grandiose self might appear truly grand by comparison. The masters of Russian culture therefore cast Europe as a collection of these inferiors, a bunch of "soft" and "weak" people whose enjoyment of a more pleasant way of life was proof of their "godlessness." (As someone told me a while back, "In Russia, the strong survive! We don't demand soft treatment." His implication was, "like some other people...") Later, the cast of inferior characters expanded to include the entire West - at least, those who are white. As for the rest of us, well, I am sure that not many members of the current Russian elite regard what goes on in our heads as thoughts worth taking seriously. Oddly enough, that does not bother me, for reasons which I will elaborate in a future post.
Thus do we encounter modern Russia as the "collective Christ" pitted against a godless world as it soldiers bravely on in its Messianic mission to bring light and redemption to a world whose desire to be left unmolested is just so much proof of the "godlessness" of that world. Thus has this "mysterious", "enigmatic" nation closed itself off from learning anything from the world which it despises. This is convenient for the present-day Russian elites, for whom the prospect of internal change must be the kind of night terror that can cause cardiac arrest. But I must mention that it has not only been tsar and nobility that have conspired to build such an enduring grandiose self. There has been another agent involved in this project over the last several centuries. I will describe that agent in my next post.