Sunday, January 10, 2021
Cleaning Up A Week of Broken Glass
Thursday, January 7, 2021
The Confused Villains Of The Piece
- The preaching of the doctrine of the pre-Tribulation rapture, in which believers will supernaturally be whisked away from the earth to Heaven just prior to the period of human history in which mankind must suffer through the final conflict of this present age.
- The teaching that the reason why the United States is not mentioned in the Biblical account of that final conflict is because most of the people of the United States will be caught up in the pre-Tribulation rapture, thus causing the U.S. to cease to exist as an earthly nation.
- The reason why most of the people of the United States will be raptured is because this is a Christian nation! Hey, it's obvious - especially when we vote Republican, oppose gun control and socialism (note: whenever you say this word, be sure to pronounce the "s's" with a sinister hiss - something like this: "ssssssocialisssssmmmmm..."), support family values and the free market, and believe that the United States is Biblically mandated to kill anyone who thinks otherwise.
Saturday, December 12, 2020
The Gross Polluter of the North
- Mineral fuels including oil (52.2 percent of total exports)
- Iron, steel (4.3 percent)
- Gems, precious metals (3.6 percent)
- Machinery including computers (2.1 percent)
- Wood (2 percent)
- Fertilizers (2 percent)
- Cereals (1.9 percent)
- Aluminum (1.4 percent)
- Electrical machinery & equipment (1.3 percent)
- Copper (1.2 percent)
Thursday, November 12, 2020
The Shape of Our Struggle
Things in the United States are turning out about as I expected in the aftermath of Joe Biden's election victory over Donald Trump. Trump's response has been what he told us all along that it would be. Indeed, even when Trump ran against Hillary Clinton in 2016, he had told us that he would not accept a legitimate election loss. The deep existential foundations of Trump's malignant narcissism are the motive behind his refusal in 2020 to accept a loss that is becoming more painfully obvious with each passing day.
Over the last four years, Trump has managed to pack many offices of the Federal government with sycophants who have no principles other than self-seeking loyalty to Trump. Anyone with competence and principles who was part of his administration at any time has by now left. He has packed the Federal judiciary with unrighteous judges. And he is now packing the Pentagon with loyalists.
All of this leads naturally to the question of what decent people in the United States should do if Trump refuses to leave office, or if he succeeds in getting corrupt courts to void a legitimate election, or if he stages a military coup. My answer to such a question is contained in the many posts I have written which explain strategic nonviolent resistance on this blog. Strategic nonviolent resistance is a key component of the struggle of an oppressed people to liberate themselves from a tyrant, dictator, or oppressor. If you're looking for what you can do to contribute to that struggle, please read these posts.
A few points must be made. First, you must get ready to organize with your neighbors. Second, you must organize to massively and collectively withdraw your economic and political cooperation from the system. This will massively raise the costs borne by a Trump dictatorship and make such a dictatorship unsustainable. (Think of such things as strikes and boycotts of large businesses (such as Fox News) that support Trump. DO NOT base your struggle solely on mass protest marches!) Third, you must remain nonviolent in your struggle. This is not just for moral reasons! It is also because the moment you allow violence, you decrease your chances that your liberation struggle will succeed. (If you don't believe me, please read Why Civil Resistance Works: The Strategic Logic of Nonviolent Conflict by Erica Chenoweth and Maria Stephan. Or watch some of the YouTube videos of Erica Chenoweth.)
- The Albert Einstein Institution
- The Center for Applied Nonviolent Action and Strategies (CANVAS)
- Teachers and practitioners of community organizing.
Sunday, November 8, 2020
The Undermining Madness
and he who humbles himself shall be exalted.
Stage 1: A narcissism which aspires for greatness, yet which is held in check by the reality of the challenges of climbing a ladder of success.
Stage 2: The diminishing of the narcissist's ability to test reality once he reaches his desired level of supremacy.
Stage 3: The narcissist's acting out his fantasies of greatness instead of grounding his actions in a reasonable response to reality.
Stage 4 (the final stage): The narcissist's crashing and burning against that cold, hard reality which he refused to acknowledge.
Saturday, November 7, 2020
A Message from Me to Donald Trump
Thursday, October 29, 2020
A Constellation Of Alarm Lights
Sunday, October 25, 2020
The Cheating Elephant, Part 2
Tuesday, October 6, 2020
Apologies for a Delay
This past weekend I had fully intended to post my third installment of my commentary and "study guide" for Gene Sharp's book From Dictatorship to Democracy. But last Friday, I allowed my computer to perform an operating system upgrade that broke more things than it fixed. So I spent a number of sleepless hours over the weekend trying to figure out what was wrong. Finally I gave up in disgust and loaded a fresh copy of the latest version of Linux Mint. I like troubleshooting computers almost as much as I like working on cars - which is to say, not very much. At least things work now.
While I was thus occupied, it seems that Donald Trump was hospitalized because of a COVID-19 infection. I just found this out yesterday. Although the situation is still quite fluid, I believe that the study of strategic nonviolent resistance is still relevant for those who are members of oppressed and marginalized peoples. Regardless of what happens to Trump (and I hear that he "released" himself from the hospital yesterday and returned to the White House), we must remember that Trump himself is merely a symptom of a larger disease. Therefore, I will publish that third post this upcoming weekend, God willing.
In the meantime, please check out the following recent posts of mine:
Saturday, September 26, 2020
Causes of Cognitive Dissonance and National Narcissistic Rage
Here's another "quickie" post. And it has to do with White American foreign policy under Donald Trump and the perceptions of other nations which have been created for American consumption by its most powerful media outlets. I want to make one suggestion and one observation. The suggestion: the foreign policy of the United States against China is actually an expression of White supremacist narcissistic rage against China on account of the fact that a nation of over one billion non-White people has made itself an independent success. That was not supposed to happen. Rather, China was supposed to live forever in the thrall of the United States, because China was supposed to be forever dependent on the United States. The United States was supposed to be forever the dominant player, dictating to everyone else on earth what they can and cannot do. China is neatly contradicting that expectation. You may not know this, but China has successfully orbited two space stations and sent a robot probe to the moon, and has launched a robot mission to Mars.
And China is not the only nonwhite, non-European nation to have begun its own exploration of outer space. The United Arab Emirates has also launched a robot probe to Mars. China and the UAE join India in the successful development of demanding technologies for space travel.
But the most pleasantly surprising news is much closer to home. When COVID-19 first broke upon the world scene, many commentators in the Global North expected that the pandemic would decimate the nations of Black Africa, who were seen as perennial "savages" perennially in need of rescue by White "saviors." However, it now appears that the nations of the African continent have done very, very well in containing the pandemic and limiting both infections and deaths. Living on the African continent is becoming safer than living in the United States. This is due to the commonsense approaches of various African governments to the challenge of providing health care for the common good. (For what it's worth, I should also note that according to one source, the nations of Africa have a better airline safety record than Russia.)
In short, the rest of the world seems to have learned in large measure how to live (and to live well!) without the United States. This will undoubtedly deprive Trump of the narcissistic supply he had hoped to enjoy by withholding access to America and its resources from people whom he deemed to be much more needy than America. Instead of that enjoyment, Trump now finds himself in the position of the evil mother in the Grimm fairy tale Snow White.
Friday, September 25, 2020
Some Cats You Don't Mess With
The Internet seems to be abuzz lately with news stories and opinion pieces about Donald Trump's efforts and intentions to make himself President for life. Some of these pieces cite Trump's attacks on Black Lives Matter organizers as his attempt to construct a "Reichstag moment." (Note to BLM: If Trump succeeds in doing so, it won't be because he is very smart and very powerful. Rather, it will be because of your repeated failures of strategic thinking, as I have repeatedly pointed out to you. Read some books on strategic nonviolent resistance and effective community organizing!)
The tone of these stories and essays began to bother me this afternoon - first, because when people get hysterical, their hysteria can become contagious. Hysteria prevents people from getting necessary work done and turns them into zombies glued to their screens - a good thing for advertisers and media companies, but a bad thing for the zombies. Second, the tone of these pieces seems to subtly convey the message that Trump is such an overwhelming threat that resistance is useless. Thus, if you can't turn yourself into a successful refugee to another country, you may as well kiss life goodbye.
I have a problem with that point of view. I have chosen not to try to become a refugee. I know moreover that there is an entire suite of things an oppressed people can do to shatter the power of a dictator who rises up over them, and that this suite of things is effective because it does not depend on violence to succeed. Doing these things involves hard work and sometimes significant suffering and risk, and there is always the possibility of failure. However, it must be realized that there is always also the possibility of success.
I am thinking just now of several YouTube videos and news stories about cat owners or members of families who own cats in which one of the family members was threatened or attacked by a dog and the cat in the house righteously thrashed the dog. (See this also.) If cats could talk, the cats who choose to throw down on dogs might explain themselves thus: "If I just give up and do nothing, horrible things will happen. If I choose to resist, horrible things might still happen. But there is also the possibility - however slim - that I might win. So let's throw some blows!"
If a cat can be that brave, then maybe some of the humans in our midst should take a deep breath and get a grip. In the face of the threat posed by Trump, the following questions should be asked:
- Are we who are among his targets willing to resist?
- Are we who are willing to resist also willing to study the most effective methods of resistance?
If you answered Yes to both of these questions, then watch this blog for my comments on Chapter 2 of "From D to D."
Wednesday, September 16, 2020
Firebugs Of A Feather
Human dysfunction tends to run in patterns. And this blog has noted several times the similarities in the types of dysfunction that characterizes Russia in the age of Putin and the United States in the age of Trump. So my curiosity was piqued today when I checked the stats for this blog and discovered that I had gotten a lot of hits from Russia over the last 24 hours. "Someone over there," thought I, "must be very interested in my most recent blog post. Or maybe they just have a general interest in my blogging! Who could it be, and why???"
I could think of only two reasons why people in Russia might be interested in what I have to say. Either those reading my stuff are members of the FSB who have put a price on my head, or there are ordinary, everyday Russians who are facing the same deadly dysfunction which has characterized the United States under Trump. Because I am a very little fish in a very big pond, I concluded that it must be the latter.
So I Googled "wildfires russia 2020" and came up with the following interesting hits:
- "Wildfires in Siberia have burned down an area larger than Greece," CBS News
- "Another Intense Summer of Fires in Siberia," NASA Earth Observatory
- "Russia's Wildfires Double in Size Within Week", TASS (via the Moscow Times)
- "Nearly 300 wildfires in Siberia amid record warm weather," phys.org
To the ordinary people in Russia who want to just live and let live - to those who are not interested in building an empire or trashing people who are not white and not Russian - I extend my sympathy to you this fire season. I hope moreover that I can provide some consolation to you, knowing that "the same experiences of suffering are being accomplished in your brotherhood that is in the world," as the Good Book says. We have our climate arsonist to deal with, and unfortunately you have yours as well.
And to those in the United States and elsewhere who continue to drink Trump-flavored Kool-Aid, let's do Russia a favor. Trump blames the overwhelming severity of wildfires in the United States on "poor forest management," suggesting that we ought to send people into our wildlands to rake up leaves. Let's send Trump to Siberia to do some raking. Just make sure he doesn't have any matches.
Monday, September 14, 2020
A Bed In Sheol
- Portland Oregon Weather Underground
- Oregon Department of Environmental Quality - Air Quality Monitoring Data
- Oregon Smoke Information
- AirNow Interactive Map of Air Quality
- Smoke Forecast - FireSmoke.ca
Call my preoccupation a fetish, but as Samuel Johnson once said, "Depend upon it, Sir, when a man knows he is to be hanged in a fortnight, it concentrates his mind wonderfully." This year is beginning to feel to me like the run-up to a mass execution. First, the stupidity and malignancy of Donald Trump. Then the coronavirus. Then the emergence of a blatant, murderous racism reminiscent of the American South in the late 19th and early 20th centuries, including the very public murders of unarmed African-Americans. Now massive wildfires for those of us in the American West, and a very active hurricane season for those on the eastern and southern seaboards of the United States.
A few facts about the wildfires. First, for the last three days, the smoke has produced widespread areas of pollution levels that have been designated as hazardous by State and Federal agencies. That's "hazardous", as in, "Any exposure to the air, even for a few minutes, can lead to serious health effects on everybody. Avoid outdoor activities." Second, the three biggest pollutants of concern have been smoke particles with diameters of 2.5 microns and below, smoke particles in the 10 micron range, and carbon monoxide. The presence of carbon monoxide is especially troubling because CO is only produced when there is not enough oxygen present to ensure at least a stoichiometric mix of oxygen and carbon-bearing materials.
Many of the fires have been caused by downed power lines or by lightning. Many of the fires have also been caused by typical human activity. But the fires have also become yet another occasion for political posturing by the American Right. Trump claims that this season's wildfires are the result of "poor forest management," but the facts don't support him. Many of the wildfires that have started this fall did not originate in forests. And there is overwhelming scientific evidence that the worsening fire seasons worldwide are a consequence of manmade climate change. Much of that evidence was compiled over the last two or three decades by national laboratories funded by the United States Government. Names like Livermore, Berkeley, and Argonne come to mind. These national laboratories are now the victims of Trump budget cuts. Therefore I expect that like the coronavirus, or deteriorating social relations, or fraying social safety nets, or a declining currency, Trump will willfully and deliberately botch his response to this exigency also.
And that had me thinking at 4 am this morning. You see, these things don't just impact me as a series of facts that fit into an analysis. (Even though I'm rather strongly geeky!) I am thinking of how last Monday I enjoyed an evening walk through the neighborhood and spent time in my backyard watering the veggies and playing my guitar beneath a clear twilight sky with two cats at my feet. That was my chill time, my therapy which enabled me to cope with a world that has recently become chaotic because of rich and powerful doofuses who want to Make Themselves Great Again due to long-standing inferiority complexes. Trump is such a doofus. But I thought I had learned to take him in stride even as I saw through his attempts to cause chaos. Now the consequences of his doofus chaos have flared up in new and unexpected ways - much like the re-emergence of flames from a fire that was not properly put out. And it's not just his doofus-ness. It's his constant gaslighting, his absolute refusal to tell the truth about anything, lest he lose what he perceives to be the advantage of pulling the wool over the eyes of those who listen to him. It's getting to be a bit much.
So because I had a hard time sleeping at 4 am, I was searching the Web for stories of Americans who have left the country for good within the last few years. And I was checking out what it would take for me to emigrate to Canada. (I found out that I'm just a few points shy of the minimum needed for a technical professional to be allowed to emigrate.) But then I thought of the people I'd be abandoning if I did such a thing. And I thought of how even the world's best places did not start out that way. They were built by the sweat equity of those who were willing to sacrifice to try to construct a righteous order in the midst of chaos. I also thought of how some of the world's best places are under attack from those who want to impose their chaos on what was a righteous order. Becoming a refugee is a temporary protection at best. And one can't be a refugee forever.
But trying to build or defend a righteous order in the midst of the chaos that is the United States just now seems to me like trying to make my bed in Sheol. (Or if you like the King James Bible, it seems like trying to make my bed in hell.) At least the Good Book promises that though I make my bed in such places, there is One Who is with me. And the art of making a sleep-worthy bed in unpleasant places will become a valuable skill as the great societies of the world run up against the reality of resource constraints and as their leaders grapple with the involuntary ending of their dreams of godhood. On that note, I'm going to lie down and try to take a nap.
P.S. Here and here are a couple of links to some interesting articles on wildfires and climate change.
Monday, September 7, 2020
The Omar Wasow Re-Election Strategy
I don't watch or listen to news much these days. (Even I have limits on how much garbage I can swallow in a day!) So it was surprising to me to hear that the entire city of Portland, Oregon is "entirely ablaze all the time." Thus says our orange-haired President of the United States, a man who I am sure has never told a lie in his life... Question to self: if Portland is entirely ablaze, why did I not see dozens of fire engines trying to put out the blaze as I went to the grocery store today? Why was the store not on fire? Why did I sleep so well last night?
Yet there have been fires - deliberately set by rioters - oops, I mean, "violent protesters" recently. These "protesters" have also made appearances in several cities throughout the United States, as I am sure you are all aware. Their modus operandi seems to be to cause as much provocative, polarizing property destruction (including tearing down statues and setting fires) and cause as much provocative, polarizing unrest as possible. Some of them are no longer even pretending to be associated with Black Lives Matter or with the struggle against racism. According to one source, the Antifa has made its reappearance among these "protestors". Note that according to some sources, these who are causing property damage are White. (Additional note: I have deleted the source I originally cited. He has since turned out to be unreliable.)
Let me suggest that it's useless telling these people that they are actually helping the cause of Donald Trump as he seeks to demonize those who are opposed to him. They already know that - which is why they are doing what they are doing. Their tactics are reminiscent of the staged battles between the Antifa and various right-wing groups in Portland and elsewhere during the 2018 mid-term elections. They are also reminiscent of vandalism perpetrated by Russian agents in Ukraine.
Why does Trump think that injecting violence into American society (and especially into the protests against racist oppression) will help him? (For yes, there is overwhelming evidence that people aligned with Trump are behind the injection of violence into American politics in 2020!) Let me suggest that even though Trump probably doesn't read anything much more complicated than coloring books, he has advisors who do know how to read. And I'm sure that they have heard by now of a man named Omar Wasow. Mr. Wasow is an Assistant Professor in the Department of Politics at Princeton. He also did a study which is by now quite famous among students of strategic nonviolent resistance. That study showed that the 1960's civil rights struggle achieved its most impressive gains when it was most strongly non-violent. That study also showed that when protests began to become violent, the violence actually hurt the cause of the protestors and helped Richard Nixon to win the 1968 presidential election.
And that is Mr. Trump's only hope of a road to a legitimate election victory this November. You see, even dictators can learn new tricks (or at least try to recycle old ones), as Will Dobson documented in his book titled, The Dictator's Learning Curve. And for the last ten years or so, dictators around the world have been staying up all night studying how to thwart strategic nonviolent resistance. By the way, I highly respect Dr. Wasow and his work. It's a shame to see his work put to evil uses.
But will Trump's gambit work? Let me suggest that in 1968, there was not a coronavirus pandemic or its resulting economic fallout to deal with. Let me also suggest that Slobodan Milosevic lost the election which deposed him even though he also resorted to dirty tricks. And lastly, let me note that the Democrats flipped the U.S. House of Representatives in 2018. Also, Dr. Wasow has two pieces of very good news. First, the current data show that 93 percent of anti-racism protests this year have been peaceful and nondestructive, according to a recent Washington Post article. Second, Trump's gambit does not appear to be working, according to additional recent articles in the Washington Post and on NPR.
Thursday, August 6, 2020
2nd Repost: The Libertarian Lifeboat
The version of the story which I am linking here is actually its second incarnation. If you want to read the original version, click here. And I will have a more research-heavy original post this weekend, God willing.
Sunday, June 21, 2020
Whadja Do With The Money?!
First, it is no secret that much of the increase in corporate asset prices has been driven by stock buybacks, as noted in the following stories:
- "Why Stock Buybacks Are Dangerous For The Economy," Harvard Business Review, January 2020. (Note: this essay was published before the coronavirus pandemic became a major economic issue.)
- "Companies Have Been Buying Back Massive Amounts Of Stock This Year," CNBC, July 2019.
- "S&P 500 Q4 2018 Buybacks Set 4th Consecutive Quarterly Record at $223 Billion; 2018 Sets Record $806 Billion," S&P Global, March 2019
This is even clearer when we consider what has happened to U.S. productivity during Trump's presidency. The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported widespread declines in American manufacturing productivity in 2018. This is a reflection of a decline in global worker productivity during 2018 and 2019. American worker productivity also declined during the last half of 2019. The decline in productivity extends also to the construction industry, according to this source. And Servaas Storm of the Institute for New Economic Thinking states his view that the reasons for falling American productivity are "‘under-consumption’ driven by stagnating real wages, rising inequality and greater job insecurity and polarization." In other words, falling American productivity is being caused by the very factors which Donald Trump has maximized.
But as I said in a previous post tracing the outworkings of damnation on American society, I am not here to editorialize or to moralize. I write this post only to hypothesize how this situation might end. For "the wages of sin is death", and the regime of Donald Trump is based on the premise of America's most privileged holders of wealth and power sinning against the rest of humanity by making themselves great at everyone else's expense. I am therefore wondering how this one special group of parasites is about to die. For the most powerful economic players in the United States have made it clear in 2020 that one of their main objectives is to prop up the value of the financial assets of their cronies at all costs. Therefore, the Fed has this year made itself a purchaser of corporate bonds. This includes buying the debt of corporations which should have crashed and burned because the value of the things they produced declined to the level of junk. This is also why the DJIA for instance has consistently closed above 23,000 over the last two months even as the coronavirus pandemic deals a shattering blow to the actual productive capacity of the U.S. economy. (Note: it is not only the U.S. central bank which is propping up asset prices. See this also.)
Now, if the financial "bodily organ" which creates U.S. dollars uses them to prop up stock prices of corporations which produce no real value, what does that do to the U.S. dollar as a reliable transmitter of value? (To put it another way, what would happen to your body if your bone marrow suddenly began producing red blood cells that could not carry oxygen to your vital organs?) Consider also that the Fed's ability to prop up asset prices depends on the Fed's ability to sell U.S. debt to foreign governments. And consider that the U.S. government is already hopelessly in debt (especially due to huge deficits under Trump), with the likelihood of repayment growing more distant by the day. What happens when foreign governments begin to refuse to buy any more U.S. debt and start asking, "Whadja do with the money?!"
Wednesday, June 3, 2020
The Defeat of the Violent Flanks
Believe me, I’m quite happy to eat my words just now. Some of the things that are now being reported are wonderful. It now appears that the leaders of the protests have figured out how to separate their protests as far as possible from the violent infiltrators who are coming from the Antifa, the Boogaloo Boys, and other violent white extremist groups. Because the protest leaders and the relatives of those African-Americans recently killed by police violence are insisting that the protests remain peaceful, the protests have gained increased legitimacy among the general public. Because the protest leaders have sought to promote strict nonviolent discipline among the protesters, the protest leaders have been able to get police and National Guard personnel to join with the protesters in showing solidarity with the victims of racist violence, as seen in the many recent media pictures of National Guard troops laying down their shields in support of the protests and police kneeling with the protesters to show their solidarity with the cause of the protests. (See this, this, and this.) In some cases, police can be seen not only kneeling with the protesters, but holding hands with them and marching with them in solidarity. (See this also.) And in one case, police who knelt with protesters joined with them in reciting the Lord’s Prayer.
This has made it much harder for Donald Trump to justify sending the U.S. military in to stop the protests. In fact, former President George W. Bush released a statement affirming the right of Americans to protest injustice and calling on Americans to build a society which is just and fair for all. Even televangelist Pat Robertson has spoken against Trump’s call to send in U.S. troops against U.S. citizens. And the U.S. defense secretary has stated that he will refuse any orders by Trump to attack American citizens. It appears that Trump’s pillars of support are dissolving!
Lastly, it appears that the protest leaders have discovered some of the literature on strategic nonviolent resistance. One of the protest leaders spoke of the triumph of “people power.” The phrase “people power” was used by Filipinos to describe their nonviolent overthrow of Ferdinand Marcos back in the 1980’s. Trump is now starting to look like Marcos, or like Slobodan Milosevic just before OTPOR overthrew him in Serbia's own nonviolent revolution. The protesters against racism in America have powerfully succeeded in making oppression backfire on the oppressor.
I wonder what Putin’s Russia thinks of all of this, since it is clear that the Russian government has been behind the rise of many far-Right national leaders (including Trump) over the last several years. It must be hard for him to see that all the work he did to mess up the United States seems now to be going up in smoke. Maybe a people power revolution will come soon to a town near him!